Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.772850 1.867295 1.965114 2.074208 2.192741 2.317919 2.460485
2026-01-25 1.604196 1.738254 1.883267 2.052667 2.246248 2.461925 2.722318
2026-02-01 1.467650 1.623894 1.798486 2.009825 2.261165 2.553699 2.924746
2026-02-08 1.342811 1.508889 1.699024 1.935502 2.225623 2.575296 3.037206
2026-02-15 1.260876 1.435738 1.640174 1.900579 2.229097 2.637925 3.199006
2026-02-22 1.204031 1.387361 1.605785 1.890144 2.258306 2.730589 3.403258
2026-03-01 1.146314 1.333747 1.560565 1.861281 2.259279 2.783384 3.554718
2026-03-08 1.073519 1.257517 1.482617 1.784922 2.191359 2.736836 3.559267
2026-03-15 1.038919 1.227100 1.460423 1.778817 2.215418 2.815706 3.749567
2026-03-22 1.032784 1.231943 1.482872 1.831990 2.322467 3.017500 4.142900
2026-03-29 1.006027 1.208780 1.467295 1.832223 2.354434 3.111878 4.377693
2026-04-05 0.981242 1.186966 1.452188 1.831718 2.384396 3.204217 4.617434
2026-04-12 0.961274 1.172883 1.449603 1.852662 2.453254 3.371281 5.022402
2026-04-19 0.929362 1.141911 1.423107 1.838704 2.469980 3.459808 5.307063
2026-04-26 0.892527 1.102877 1.383801 1.803987 2.452457 3.491231 5.492256
2026-05-03 0.848975 1.053121 1.327529 1.741362 2.387118 3.437212 5.506378
2026-05-10 0.819119 1.021058 1.294727 1.711800 2.371904 3.466473 5.688658
2026-05-17 0.797855 1.000017 1.276527 1.702975 2.388965 3.552493 5.999673
2026-05-24 0.773115 0.973242 1.248987 1.678344 2.378162 3.587394 6.207099
2026-05-31 0.737487 0.930164 1.196501 1.612961 2.295727 3.485320 6.097238
2026-06-07 0.721628 0.914462 1.183156 1.607728 2.314030 3.570690 6.426259
2026-06-14 0.721253 0.920587 1.201758 1.653302 2.421809 3.835430 7.232977
2026-06-21 0.708229 0.908126 1.192313 1.653502 2.450224 3.948544 7.690577